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Hartalega Holdings Bhd – 15th Dec 2020

As the availability of Covid-19 vaccine at the doorstep across the glove in near future, we think that the pent-up demand trend may likely to taper in 2022. The move, coupled with the impending new entrants of gloves manufacturers and expansion of existing capacities will subsequently bring the meteoric rise of gloves ASPs to an inflection point. Nevertheless, we reckon that despite the retracement in ASPs of gloves, it will still come higher against pre-Covid-19 levels.

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market pulse

Still within consolidation mode

The FBM KLCI settled in red in tandem with the regional peers as selling pressure in the glove stocks returned, offsetting the gains on the banking heavyweights following the unchanged Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by Bank Negara Malaysia. Tracking the losses on Wall Street overnight, we expect the local bourse may continue to consolidate further as market players are likely to trade on a cautious tone on the broader market. Nevertheless, we expect traders to position themselves for the recovery theme as Covid-19 vaccination is taking place. Meanwhile, the Brent oil price has surged firmly above USD65.

market pulse

Bank Negara’s OPR in focus

Bargain hunting activities emerged on the glove counters after more than one week of pullback, lifting the FBM KLCI and the healthcare sector higher. Market will be looking forward to the second Monetary Policy Committee meeting today to gauge market movements. However, economists anticipate an unchanged stance on the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) amid expectation of an economic recovery. We believe the lower liners will continue to remain upbeat if the positive market sentiment persists. Meanwhile, the Brent oil price has seen a rebound.

market pulse

Streched valuations

Bucking the downturn across the regional markets, the FBM KLCI ended modestly higher as continued selling in glove heavyweights were offset by buying support in IHH and selected banking heavyweights. We believe the local bourse should trade in an upward bias tone following the change of MCO status for Selangor, Johor, Penang and KL. Meanwhile, the number of Covid-19 confirmed cases daily has dropped to year-to-date low. However, note that the negative sentiment on Wall Street overnight could cap the upside potential on the local front.

technical focus

Technical Focus – LHI

One of the largest fully integrated producers of poultry, eggs and livestock feed in Southeast Asia with strong presence in Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam and Singapore. Committed to expand the Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam operations via additional capacities and infrastructures, whilst targets 160 Baker’s Cottage outlets by end-FY21 (from 103 outlets since end-FY20). Sequential earnings recovery is on the table, premised to the stabilising poultry prices in Malaysia as well as Indonesia in recent months. Technically, the flag-formation breakout above RM0.71 may lead price towards the immediate resistances at RM0.775-0.82, with long term target at RM0.885.

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